Colton Dach

Edmonton Oilers · C · #34

VAN @ EDM · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1366 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at UTAH, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 16.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 15.4 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 11.3 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 10.2 min
vs DET, 2026-10-26: 2, cleared, 14.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 16.5 min
at NYI, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 14.9 min
at NYR, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 14.9 min
at NJ, 2026-11-03: 3, cleared, 14.6 min
vs ANA, 2026-11-05: 3, cleared, 17.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 24.0 shots on goal a game to forwards: the most of 32
18 games · last 10 games: 23.6, 2nd most
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 13; with him: 2 of 13 (26 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 4 of 15 (26 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Leevi Merilainen (Expected)
Saves: 271 of 307 (.883) over his last 10 games · 7 of VAN's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 3 of 6 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Connor McDavidC
Evan BouchardD
Leon DraisaitlC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Shots on Goal: 2 in 12.8 min, Oct 1 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against VAN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 2.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −136
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −163

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −163, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5903 books	—	8/10
−1366 books	−1043 books	8/10
+2153 books	—	5/10
+4152 books	—	2/10
+14001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−120Best	—
DraftKings6 min ago	−135	+100Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−136	−104
betPARX5 min ago	−136	−104
BetRivers3 min ago	−136	—
Bovada5 min ago	−159	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

−140 → −136 since first seen

Colton Dach's full game log and splits