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Cole Perfetti

Winnipeg Jets · C · #91

WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1237 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightTeammate out

    Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)

    Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 17; with him: 22 of 73 (90 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)

    Over 2.5 without him: 13 of 31; with him: 20 of 59 (90 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Jacob Fowler (Confirmed)

    Saves: 239 of 256 (.934) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    MTL allow 19.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 18th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 19.8, 16th most

Game log against Over 2.5

64%7 of 11L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of 11 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

  1. at STL, 2026-04-09: 1, missed, 13.8 min (not counted)
  2. vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 1, missed, 14.6 min (not counted)
  3. at VGK, 2026-04-13: 0, missed, 12.4 min (not counted)
  4. at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 1, missed, 16.9 min (not counted)
  5. vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 2, missed, 17.3 min (not counted)
  6. vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 4, cleared, 16.2 min (not counted)
  7. at DET, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 17.2 min (not counted)
  8. at PIT, 2026-10-05: 4, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
  9. vs COL, 2026-10-07: 2, missed, 19.2 min (not counted)
  10. vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 22.3 min
  11. vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 4, cleared, 16.2 min
  12. at CHI, 2026-10-15: 2, missed, 19 min
  13. vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 16.7 min
  14. at STL, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 19.8 min
  15. at DAL, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 19 min
  16. vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 4, cleared, 24 min
  17. vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 16.1 min
  18. at TB, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 17.4 min
  19. at FLA, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 18.6 min
  20. at CAR, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 15.6 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20
  • Kyle ConnorLW

  • Mark ScheifeleC

  • Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve

  • Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Shots on Goal: 4 in 24 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MTL on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 2.5

Average
2.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
3
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
64%
7 of 11
Price implies
45%
at +123
Books’ fair
42%
margin removed
Time on ice
18.6
11 games · 15.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−14503 books—10/11
−2403 books—10/11
+1237 books−1656 books7/11
+3203 books—3/11
+7001 book—1/11
+17001 book—0/11
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
FanDuel4 min ago+126Best−165
Bovada3 min ago+125−165
DraftKings3 min ago+125−165
Bally Bet3 min ago+123−175
betPARX3 min ago+123−175
BetRivers2 min ago+123—
Pinnacle3 min ago+121−161Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:43 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +144 → +123 since first seen

Cole Perfetti's full game log and splits