Cole Caufield

Montreal Canadiens · RW · #13

UTAH @ MTL · Thu, Nov 5 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1605 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 5, cleared, 19.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 0, missed, 19.9 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 5, cleared, 18.1 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 19.6 min
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 4, cleared, 16.2 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 15.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 16.4 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 18.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 18.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 17.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Sebastian Cossa (Confirmed)
Saves: 81 of 94 (.862) over his last 5 games · 3 of UTAH's last 10 starts · Karel Vejmelka started 7
Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 61 of 102 (115 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 11; with him: 61 of 104 (115 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 18.2 shots on goal a game to forwards: 25th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 18.7, 23rd most

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Nick SuzukiC
Lane HutsonD
Juraj SlafkovskyLW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Shots on Goal: 3 in 17.8 min, Nov 26, 2025 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−25001 book	—	8/10
−5402 books	—	8/10
−1605 books	+1183 books	7/10
+1333 books	−1782 books	4/10
+3302 books	—	2/10
+7002 books	—	0/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings10 hr ago	−150Best	+110
Bovada10 hr ago	−159	—
FanDuel10 hr ago	−160	+122Best
Bally Bet10 hr ago	−167	+118
BetRivers10 hr ago	−167	—

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

3.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Cole Caufield's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.