Clayton Keller
UTAH @ OTT · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 16 of 31; with him: 36 of 74 (105 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 10; with him: 49 of 95 (105 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 186 of 210 (.886) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 20.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 14th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 20.9, 9th most
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against OTT in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Mikhail SergachevD
Nick SchmaltzC
Logan CooleyC
Kailer YamamotoRWInjured Reserve
John MarinoDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs OTT
Shots on Goal: 1 in 22.5 min, Jan 7 (home)
Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against OTT on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 48%
- at +108
- Books’ fair
- 45%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 18.9
- 10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 45%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −17253 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2903 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +1087 books | −1406 books | 4/10 | |
| +2753 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +6003 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +14001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +110Best | −155 |
| betPARX3 min ago | +110Best | −155 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +110Best | — |
| FanDuel3 min ago | +108 | −140 |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | +108 | −140 |
| Bovada3 min ago | +105 | −135Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | +105 | −140 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: +110 → +108 since first seen