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Clayton Keller

Utah Mammoth · RW · #9

UTAH @ OTT · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1107 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

  1. at EDM, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 16.9 min
  2. vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 16.7 min
  3. vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 19.1 min
  4. at SEA, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 20.2 min
  5. vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 16.1 min
  6. vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 21.8 min
  7. at PIT, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 17.9 min
  8. at PHI, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 19.3 min
  9. at TOR, 2026-11-03: 5, cleared, 18.8 min
  10. at MTL, 2026-11-05: 1, missed, 22.4 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)

    Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 10; with him: 49 of 95 (105 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)

    Over 2.5 without him: 35 of 73; with him: 2 of 5 (78 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Samuel Ersson (Expected)

    Saves: 186 of 210 (.886) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    OTT allow 20.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 14th most of 32

    17 games · last 10 games: 20.9, 9th most

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10
  • Mikhail SergachevD

  • Nick SchmaltzC

  • Logan CooleyC

  • John MarinoDInjured Reserve

  • Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Shots on Goal: 1 in 22.5 min, Jan 7 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
2.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
48%
at +110
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Time on ice
18.9
10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−17253 books—10/10
−2803 books—6/10
+1107 books−1405 books4/10
+2703 books—3/10
+6003 books—1/10
+14001 book—0/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Bally Bet6 min ago+110Best−155
betPARX5 min ago+110Best−155
BetRivers6 min ago+110Best—
Bovada6 min ago+110Best—
Pinnacle6 min ago+108−140
FanDuel5 min ago+106−138Best
DraftKings6 min ago+105−140
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Clayton Keller's full game log and splits