Clayton Keller
UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)
Saves: 262 of 300 (.873) over his last 10 games · 3 of MTL's last 10 starts · Jacob Fowler started 7
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 9; with him: 49 of 95 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)
Over 2.5 without him: 35 of 72; with him: 2 of 5 (77 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MTL allow 20.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.9, 9th most
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MTL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against MTL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Mikhail SergachevD
Nick SchmaltzC
Logan CooleyC
John MarinoDInjured Reserve
Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MTL
Shots on Goal: 4 in 21.9 min, Nov 26, 2025 (home)
Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MTL on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 45%
- at +120
- Books’ fair
- 42%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 18.2
- 10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 42%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16002 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2602 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +1206 books | −1565 books | 4/10 | |
| +2852 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +6002 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +14001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +133Best | −190 |
| betPARX1 min ago | +133Best | −190 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +133Best | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +120 | −154Best |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | +117 | −156 |
| DraftKings2 min ago | +115 | −155 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: +138 → +120 since first seen