Clayton Keller

Utah Mammoth · RW · #9

UTAH @ MTL · Thu, Nov 5 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1176 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 15.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 16.9 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 16.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 19.1 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 20.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 16.1 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 21.8 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 17.9 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 19.3 min
at TOR, 2026-11-03: 5, cleared, 18.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)
Saves: 262 of 300 (.873) over his last 10 games · 3 of MTL's last 10 starts · Jacob Fowler started 7
Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 16 of 30; with him: 36 of 74 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 9; with him: 49 of 95 (104 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MTL allow 20.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.9, 9th most

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MTL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against MTL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Mikhail SergachevD
Nick SchmaltzC
Logan CooleyC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Shots on Goal: 4 in 21.9 min, Nov 26, 2025 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against MTL on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 46%; at +117
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.2; 10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−17252 books	—	9/10
−2852 books	—	6/10
+1176 books	−1565 books	4/10
+2352 books	—	3/10
+5502 books	—	1/10
+12001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet7 hr ago	+133Best	−190
betPARX7 hr ago	+133Best	−190
BetRivers7 hr ago	+133Best	—
Pinnacle7 hr ago	+117	−156
Bovada7 hr ago	+110	−145
DraftKings7 hr ago	+100	−135Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +138 → +117 since first seen

Clayton Keller's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.