Clayton Keller

Utah Mammoth · RW · #9

UTAH @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1003 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Out (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 29; with him: 36 of 74 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 8; with him: 49 of 95 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anthony Stolarz started TOR's last game
Saves: 230 of 255 (.902) over his last 10 games · 4 of TOR's last 10 starts · Sergei Bobrovsky started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 20.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 18.9, 22nd most

30%3 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at BUF, 2026-10-10: 2, missed, 18.1 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 15.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 16.9 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 16.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 19.1 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 20.2 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 16.1 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 21.8 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 17.9 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 19.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Mikhail SergachevD
Logan CooleyC
Nick SchmaltzC
Kailer YamamotoRWOut
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Shots on Goal: 0 in 15.5 min, Oct 13 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2; −0.5 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +100
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.2; 10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14001 book	—	9/10
−2851 book	—	6/10
+1003 books	−1303 books	3/10
+2451 book	—	2/10
+5501 book	—	0/10
+12001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet2 hr ago	+112Best	−157
DraftKings2 hr ago	+100	−130Best
Pinnacle2 hr ago	−105	−130Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −110 → +100 since first seen

Clayton Keller's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.