Christian Dvorak

Philadelphia Flyers · C · #22

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1755 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 7 at home).

vs CAR, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 17.4 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 18.6 min
at DET, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 18.4 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 21.7 min
vs COL, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 17.7 min
at BUF, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 18.7 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 19.8 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 18.2 min
at WSH, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 17.3 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 17.1 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Trevor ZegrasC
Oliver BonkD
Matvei MichkovRW
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Matchup · 16 games

MIN allow 4.31 points a game to forwards: 31st most of 32

Rest

1 day off since Nov 1 vs UTA

Last vs MIN

Points: 0 in 19.5 min, Mar 12 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MIN on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −144

Research, not a pick. At −175 the price is worse than our fair −144, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1505 books	−1751 book	5/10
+7505 books	—	9/10
+25001 book	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings15 min ago	+130	−175Best
Bally Bet15 min ago	+150Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	+150Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+150Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+128	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under −180 → −175 since first seen