Chris Kreider
UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Under 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 1 of 2 (15 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 6 of 8 (15 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka (Expected)
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 7 of UTAH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 3.44 assists a game to forwards: 21st most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.80, 13th most
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Nick SuzukiC
Cole CaufieldRW
Lane HutsonD
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Kreider didn't play the Nov 26, 2025 meeting; assists the last time Kreider faced them: 0 (Mar 20)
Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 84%
- at −514
- Books’ fair
- 78%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 71%
- estimate · fair −247
Research, not a pick. At −475 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −247, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +3202 books | −5142 books | 7/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings6 min ago | +320 | −475Best |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | +330Best | −514 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under: −525 → −514 since first seen


