Charlie Coyle

Columbus Blue Jackets · C · #3

CBJ @ BUF · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2407 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs FLA, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 16.5 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 21.4 min
at MIN, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 19.7 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 23 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at PHI, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 19.6 min
at CAR, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 18 min
at DAL, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 24 min
vs COL, 2026-11-03: 2, missed, 20.3 min
vs DAL, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 23.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Blue Jackets played the day before (vs DAL): a back-to-back
Opposing goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Confirmed)
Saves: 227 of 260 (.873) over his last 10 games · 7 of BUF's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 3.93 assists a game to forwards: 13th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 3.40, 19th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 21 min · 2026–27: 20 (14 games)
Power play: 2.8 min last 5 · 3.2 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Zach WerenskiD
Kent JohnsonC
Damon SeversonD

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blue Jackets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Assists: 3 in 19.1 min, Oct 1 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against BUF on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −240
Books’ fair: 66%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −239 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −150, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1647 books	−2402 books	5/10
	+10003 books	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	+174	−239Best
DraftKings5 min ago	+175Best	−240
Bally Bet5 min ago	+138	—
betPARX3 min ago	+138	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+138	—
Bovada5 min ago	+168	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+164	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Charlie Coyle's full game log and splits