Charle-Edouard D'Astous

Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #51

CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1807 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, hit, 16.1 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 13.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 14 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 16.9 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 12.9 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 21.1 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 20.1 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 19.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 25.4 min
vs DET, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 18.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Expected)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
TodayDefense vs defensemen
CHI allow 2.44 assists a game to defensemen: 2nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 1.90, 10th most
TodayTime on ice
Last 5: 20.8 min · 2026–27: 17 (13 games) · up 22%
Power play: 4.5 min last 5 · 2.8 2026–27
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: 54 of 73 (86 games as teammates)

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Brandon HagelLW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Assists: 0 in 20.9 min, Jan 23 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CHI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −151 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1007 books	−1802 books	4/10
+6253 books	—	10/10
+18002 books	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	+113	−151Best
DraftKings5 min ago	+130Best	−180
Bally Bet5 min ago	−112	—
betPARX5 min ago	−112	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−112	—
Bovada10 min ago	+128	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+100	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Charle-Edouard D'Astous's full game log and splits