Carter Verhaeghe

Florida Panthers · C · #23

FLA @ WSH · Today 12:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1416 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at CBJ, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 18.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 19.9 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 17.1 min
at OTT, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 16.9 min
at PIT, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 17.8 min
at CHI, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 16.7 min
at WPG, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 18.4 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 20 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 18.9 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 17.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 46 of 91; with him: 11 of 19 (110 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 21 of 40; with him: 36 of 70 (110 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson (Expected)
Saves: 236 of 266 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of WSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 7.21 points a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 8.20, 5th most

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Matthew TkachukLW
Seth JonesD
Brady TkachukLW
Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve
Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Points: 2 in 19.7 min, Jan 17 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against WSH on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −141
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1416 books	−1052 books	8/10
+3354 books	—	4/10
+13001 book	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−130Best	−105Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	−130Best	−105Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	−141	—
betPARX3 min ago	−141	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−141	—
FanDuel3 min ago	−142	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −160 → −141 since first seen

Carter Verhaeghe's full game log and splits