Carter Verhaeghe

Florida Panthers · C · #23

CHI @ FLA · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1606 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at BUF, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 17.6 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 18.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 19.9 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 17.1 min
at OTT, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 16.9 min
at PIT, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 17.8 min
at CHI, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 16.7 min
at WPG, 2026-10-27: 2, cleared, 18.4 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 20 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 18.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 45 of 90; with him: 12 of 20 (110 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 20 of 39; with him: 37 of 71 (110 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Spencer Knight (Expected)
Saves: 273 of 304 (.898) over his last 10 games · 9 of CHI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CHI allow 7.33 points a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 7.10, 8th most

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Matthew TkachukLW
Seth JonesD
Brady TkachukLW
Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve
Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Points: 1 in 16.7 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −143

Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −143, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1606 books	+1152 books	7/10
+3005 books	—	3/10
+9002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−157Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−157Best	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−157Best	—
DraftKings5 min ago	−160	+115Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	−160	+115Best
FanDuel6 min ago	−188	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Carter Verhaeghe's full game log and splits