Brock Nelson

Colorado Avalanche · C · #11

NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1316 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 2, cleared, 23 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 20.5 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 3, cleared, 18.8 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 17.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 18.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 16.5 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 16.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 13.6 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 17 min
at CBJ, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 15.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 9; with him: 63 of 101 (110 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 20.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 11th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 19.9, 16th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 15.9 min · 2026–27: 17.7 (16 games)
Power play: 1.9 min last 5 · 1.5 2026–27

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Cale MakarD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Shots on Goal: 2 in 16.5 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against NSH on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −131
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Time on ice: 17.8; 10 games · 19.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7502 books	—	8/10
−1316 books	−1015 books	5/10
+2052 books	—	3/10
+5001 book	—	0/10
+13001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−125Best	−112
betPARX2 min ago	−125Best	−112
BetRivers2 min ago	−125Best	—
Pinnacle6 min ago	−131	−101
DraftKings6 min ago	−140	+105
FanDuel2 min ago	−146	+112Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −130 → −131 since first seen

Brock Nelson's full game log and splits