Brock Nelson

Colorado Avalanche · C · #11

NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2406 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 1, cleared, 23 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 0, missed, 20.5 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 18.8 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 17.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 18.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 16.5 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 16.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 13.6 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 17 min
at CBJ, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 15.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 9; with him: 32 of 101 (110 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 2.53 goals a game to forwards: 21st most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 2.60, 16th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 15.9 min · 2026–27: 17.7 (16 games)
Power play: 1.9 min last 5 · 1.5 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Cale MakarD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Goals: 0 in 16.5 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against NSH on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 29%; at +240
Books’ fair: 27%; margin removed
Time on ice: 17.8; 10 games · 19.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 27%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+2406 books	−3461 book	2/10
+14005 books	—	0/10
+80004 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago	+250Best	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+250Best	—
Bally Bet4 min ago	+240	—
betPARX6 min ago	+240	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+240	—
Pinnacle4 min ago	+240	−346Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +255 → +240 since first seen

Brock Nelson's full game log and splits