Brett Howden

Vegas Golden Knights · C · #21

VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1754 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at NSH, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 15.5 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 1, hit, 14.7 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 14.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 15.9 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 15.4 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, hit, 14.2 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 14.5 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 16 min
at PIT, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 14.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov (Expected)
Saves: 210 of 227 (.925) over his last 10 games · 4 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 5
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 1.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 3 of 6 (17 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 16.4, 29th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 14.9 min · 2026–27: 15.4 (17 games)
Power play: 0.4 min last 5 · 0.1 2026–27

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 3 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Howden didn't play the Mar 4 meeting; shots on goal the last time Howden faced them: 0 (Nov 4, 2025)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against DET on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3401 book	—	4/10
+1204 books	−1753 books	7/10
+3701 book	—	9/10
+10001 book	—	9/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings4 min ago	+120Best	−165Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	+120Best	−175
betPARX4 min ago	+120Best	−175
BetRivers3 min ago	+120Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Brett Howden's full game log and splits