Brayden Point

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #21

CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2756 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 19 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 20.2 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 18.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 17.1 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 16.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 20.8 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 18.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 20.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 23.2 min
vs DET, 2026-11-03: 2, cleared, 18.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Expected)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
TodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 7.56 points a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 7.10, 8th most
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 14; with him: 37 of 70 (84 games as teammates)
Time on ice
Last 5: 20.2 min · 2026–27: 19.4 (14 games)
Power play: 5.2 min last 5 · 4.7 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Brandon HagelLW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Point didn't play the Jan 23 meeting; points the last time Point faced them: 1 (Oct 23, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 73%; at −275
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −192

Research, not a pick. At −230 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −192, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2756 books	+1701 book	7/10
+1705 books	−2201 book	3/10
+5255 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−230Best	+170Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−265	—
betPARXjust now	−275	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−275	—
DraftKings4 min ago	−275	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−280	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Brayden Point's full game log and splits