Bo Horvat

New York Islanders · C · #14

NJ @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1756 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

73%11 of 15L20 · Without Barzal

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 11 of 15 games without Mathew Barzal (his last 20 games).

at CAR, 2026-04-04: 0, missed, 20.7 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-04-09: 1, cleared, 19.8 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 22.9 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 20.7 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-04-14: 1, cleared, 20.3 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-09-30: 1, cleared, 22.5 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-03: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-06: 1, cleared, 17.8 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-08: 2, cleared, 17.9 min
vs TB, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 20.2 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 19.8 min
at OTT, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23.4 min
at TOR, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 24.4 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 21.6 min
vs LA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 21.6 min
at DAL, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 19.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 26.1 min
at MIN, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 21 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 20.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-11-05: 0, missed, 20.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Mathew Barzal: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 40 of 67 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Matias Maccelli: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 7 of 8 (15 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Calum Ritchie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 14; with him: 37 of 59 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Alexander Romanov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 37 of 65; with him: 14 of 18 (83 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Matthew SchaeferD
Mathew BarzalCInjured Reserve
Matias MaccelliLWInjured Reserve
Calum RitchieCInjured Reserve
Alexander RomanovDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Islanders count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NJ

Points: 1 in 18.5 min, Oct 3 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against NJ on record

L20 · Without Barzal · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 73%; 11 of 15
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −173 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −152, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Barzal

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1756 books	+1351 book	11/15
+2655 books	—	3/15
+8005 books	—	0/15

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada2 min ago	−173Best	—
Bally Bet2 min ago	−175	—
betPARX3 min ago	−175	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−175	—
Pinnacle2 min ago	−180	+135Best
FanDuel1 min ago	−194	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −205 → −175 since first seen

Bo Horvat's full game log and splits