Blake Coleman

Minnesota Wild · LW · #20

SJ @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1804 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 at home).

vs STL, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 17.6 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 16.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 17.6 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 16.5 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 15.5 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 16.3 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 16.2 min
at PHI, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 15.1 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Under 0.5 without him: 11 of 17; with him: no games (17 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 14; with him: 1 of 3 (17 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)
Saves: 259 of 292 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of SJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
SJ allow 7.24 points a game to forwards: 7th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 7.30, 8th most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SJ in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 10 against SJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SJ

Coleman didn't play the Dec 31, 2025 meeting; points the last time Coleman faced them: 0 (Feb 26)

Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 10 games against SJ on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −180 the price is worse than our fair −156, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1164 books	−1801 book	7/10
	+5504 books	—	9/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+130Best	−180Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	+116	—
betPARX5 min ago	+116	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+116	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: −160 → −180 since first seen

Blake Coleman's full game log and splits