Berkly Catton

Seattle Kraken · C · #27

NYR @ SEA · Today 5:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −3817 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at WSH, 2026-10-11: 0, hit, 12.8 min
at PHI, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 16.3 min
at TB, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 12.4 min
at FLA, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 15 min
vs DET, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 15.1 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 14.4 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 15.4 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 15.1 min
at CGY, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 17.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 15.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jared McCann: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 21 of 28; with him: 44 of 53 (81 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Lindgren: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 12 of 17; with him: 53 of 64 (81 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Expected)
Saves: 229 of 255 (.898) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 3.18 assists a game to forwards: 25th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 3.90, 13th most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYR in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Chandler StephensonC
Mackie SamoskevichRW
Kaapo KakkoRW
Jared McCannLWInjured Reserve
Ryan LindgrenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kraken count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Assists: 0 in 13.5 min, Jan 12 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against NYR on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 79%; at −381
Books’ fair: 73%; margin removed
Our chance: 67%; estimate · fair −201

Research, not a pick. At −310 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −201, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2257 books	−3812 books	6/10
	+16001 book	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+225	−310Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	+260	−381
Bally Bet4 min ago	+185	—
betPARX4 min ago	+185	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+185	—
Bovada4 min ago	+260	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+280Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Berkly Catton's full game log and splits