Berkly Catton

Seattle Kraken · C · #27

CGY @ SEA · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −3001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jared McCann: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 20 of 27; with him: 44 of 53 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Lindgren: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 53 of 64 (80 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dustin Wolf (Expected)
Saves: 250 of 283 (.883) over his last 10 games · 5 of CGY's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CGY allow 4.07 assists a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 3.10, 25th most

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at DET, 2026-10-09: 1, missed, 14.6 min
at WSH, 2026-10-11: 0, hit, 12.8 min
at PHI, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 16.3 min
at TB, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 12.4 min
at FLA, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 15 min
vs DET, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 15.1 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 14.4 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 15.4 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 15.1 min
at CGY, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 17.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Chandler StephensonC
Mackie SamoskevichRW
Kaapo KakkoRW
Jared McCannLWInjured Reserve
Ryan LindgrenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kraken count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CGY

Assists: 1 in 17.4 min, Oct 30 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against CGY on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 75%; at −300
Books’ fair: 70%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −179

Research, not a pick. At −300 the price is worse than our fair −179, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2151 book	−3001 book	5/10
	+14001 book	—	9/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings28 min ago	+215Best	−300Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

Berkly Catton's full game log and splits