Ben Kindel

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #81

PIT @ LA · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1256 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

43%3 of 7L20 · Without Rust

Under 0.5 Points hit in 3 of 7 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

at STL, 2026-04-14: 1, missed, 18.1 min
vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 0, hit, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 0, hit, 11 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 0, hit, 13.1 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 0, hit, 10.3 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 0, hit, 11.8 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 0, hit, 19.5 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 14.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 2, missed, 18.6 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 1, missed, 19.6 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 0, hit, 17.3 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 19.5 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 17.1 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 0, hit, 15 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.6 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 18.9 min (not counted)
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 16.5 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 16.8 min
vs VGK, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 14.5 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 18.1 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 58 of 81 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 9; with him: 1 of 4 (13 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Graves: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 45 of 64; with him: 13 of 20 (84 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Anton Forsberg (Expected)
Saves: 239 of 264 (.905) over his last 10 games · 5 of LA's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against LA in his last 20; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 against LA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Sidney CrosbyC
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve
Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LA

Points: 0 in 17.8 min, Nov 9, 2025 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against LA on record

L20 · Without Rust · Under 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 43%; 3 of 7
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
+1086 books	−1252 books	3/7
+5255 books	—	5/7
+20001 book	—	7/7

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 min ago	−110	−125Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	−110	−125Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	+110Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	+110Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+110Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+108	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Ben Kindel's full game log and splits