Beckett Sennecke

Anaheim Ducks · RW · #45

ANA @ VAN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2205 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 8.94 points a game to forwards: the most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 8.90, the most
Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 19 of 35; with him: 39 of 73 (108 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 17; with him: 47 of 91 (108 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Leevi Merilainen (Expected)
Saves: 271 of 302 (.897) over his last 10 games · 7 of VAN's last 10 starts

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at CGY, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 20.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 22.9 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-16: 1, cleared, 23.2 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 15.6 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 24.7 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 20.2 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 18 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 21.2 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 20.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Leo CarlssonC
Cutter GauthierLW
Jackson LaCombeD
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Points: 1 in 18 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against VAN on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 69%; at −220
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −185 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −140, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2205 books	+1351 book	5/10
+2155 books	—	1/10
+6505 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	−185Best	+135Best
Bally Bet10 min ago	−220	—
betPARX2 min ago	−220	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−220	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−225	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Beckett Sennecke's full game log and splits