Barrett Hayton

Utah Mammoth · C · #27

UTAH @ OTT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1705 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at EDM, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 15 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.2 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 14.2 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 14.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 15.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 13.2 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 16.3 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 13.7 min
at TOR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 16.4 min
at MTL, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 15.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 50 of 77 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)
Under 0.5 without him: 33 of 58; with him: 3 of 3 (61 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 186 of 210 (.886) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 6.18 points a game to forwards: 20th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 6.20, 17th most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 4 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Mikhail SergachevD
Clayton KellerRW
Nick SchmaltzC
John MarinoDInjured Reserve
Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Points: 0 in 14 min, Jan 7 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against OTT on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −170
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −170 the price is worse than our fair −140, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1385 books	−1701 book	6/10
	+6505 books	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings1 min ago	+125	−170Best
Bally Bet1 min ago	+138	—
betPARXjust now	+143Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+138	—
Bovada1 min ago	+140	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

Barrett Hayton's full game log and splits