Barrett Hayton

Utah Mammoth · C · #27

UTAH @ OTT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2875 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

at EDM, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 15 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.2 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 14.2 min
at SEA, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 14.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 15.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 13.2 min
at PIT, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 16.3 min
at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 13.7 min
at TOR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 16.4 min
at MTL, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 15.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Kailer Yamamoto: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 21 of 30; with him: 43 of 55 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 59 of 77 (85 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 186 of 210 (.886) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 3.41 assists a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 3.20, 21st most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 4 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Mikhail SergachevD
Clayton KellerRW
Nick SchmaltzC
Kailer YamamotoRWInjured Reserve
John MarinoDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Assists: 0 in 14 min, Jan 7 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against OTT on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 74%; at −287
Books’ fair: 69%; margin removed
Our chance: 67%; estimate · fair −200

Research, not a pick. At −280 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −200, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2305 books	−2872 books	7/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 min ago	+205	−280Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	+205	−287
Bally Bet2 min ago	+230Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+230Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+230Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: −290 → −287 since first seen

Barrett Hayton's full game log and splits