Artturi Lehkonen

Colorado Avalanche · LW · #62

DET @ COL · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1676 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 3, cleared, 18.6 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 19.1 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 16.7 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 18.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 18.5 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 18.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared, 15.8 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 19.6 min
at CBJ, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 18.8 min
vs NSH, 2026-11-05: 2, cleared, 18.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 10; with him: 56 of 88 (98 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 183 of 215 (.851) over his last 10 games · 5 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.3 min · 2026–27: 18.8 (17 games)
Power play: 1.2 min last 5 · 1.5 2026–27

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Cale MakarD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Shots on Goal: 0 in 22 min, Feb 2 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.7; +1.2 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −167
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −175

Research, not a pick. At −156 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −175, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8002 books	—	10/10
−1676 books	+1205 books	9/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
+1602 books	—	4/10
+4001 book	—	3/10
+9501 book	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−156Best	+120
betPARXjust now	−165	+116
BetRivers1 min ago	−165	—
Bally Bet3 min ago	−167	+118
Pinnacle3 min ago	−168	+126
DraftKings3 min ago	−180	+135Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:06 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −152 → −167 since first seen

Artturi Lehkonen's full game log and splits