Arseny Gritsyuk

New Jersey Devils · RW · #81

STL @ NJ · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1853 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at DET, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 19.5 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 16.9 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 6, cleared, 17.3 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 11.4 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 15.7 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 15.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 13.3 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 16.4 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 17.8 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 16.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Jordan Binnington (Confirmed)
Saves: 199 of 230 (.865) over his last 10 games · 2 of STL's last 10 starts · Joel Hofer started 8
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 19.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.3, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 15.9 min · 2026–27: 15.5 (15 games)
Power play: 1.3 min last 5 · 1.3 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Jesper BrattLW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Shots on Goal: 2 in 13.1 min, Feb 28 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against STL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.7; +1.2 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −185
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −164

Research, not a pick. At −182 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −164, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9001 book	—	10/10
−1853 books	+1353 books	5/10
+1451 book	—	3/10
+3801 book	—	3/10
+9001 book	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet10 hr ago	−182Best	+130
DraftKings10 hr ago	−185	+135
Pinnacle10 hr ago	−193	+143Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

Arseny Gritsyuk's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.