Anton Frondell
CHI @ TB · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.
What's different yesterday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his last 3 came with Patrick Kane playing; Kane is out yesterday. Without him: Over 1.5 in 1 of 1.
YesterdayTeammate out
Patrick Kane: Out (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 6 of 15 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
YesterdayDefense vs forwards
TB allow 16.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 16.5, 28th most
YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Blackhawks played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Bowen Byram: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 10; with him: 2 of 6 (16 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Connor BedardC
Roman KantserovRW
Patrick KaneRWOut
Bowen ByramDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Blackhawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TB
Frondell didn't play the Jan 23 meeting
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −156
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −140 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1563 books | +1143 books | 5/10 | |
| +1951 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +5001 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings14 hr ago | −140Best | +105 |
| Pinnacle14 hr ago | −156 | +117Best |
| Bally Bet14 hr ago | −159 | +114 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No move since first seen
This page last updated 7:09 PM ET.


