Andrew Copp

Detroit Red Wings · C · #18

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1086 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 10; with him: 37 of 84 (94 games as teammates)
TonightDefense vs forwards
TB allow 16.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 17.0, 28th most
TonightRest · back-to-back
Red Wings played last night (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 25; with him: 31 of 69 (94 games as teammates)

17%1 of 6L20 · Without Larkin

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 1 of 6 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs CBJ, 2026-04-07: 2, cleared, 17.6 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 2, cleared, 18.1 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 2, cleared, 17.7 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 1, missed, 16.7 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 2, cleared, 15.2 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 22.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 23.7 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, cleared, 18.4 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 2, cleared, 15.4 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 19.3 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 18.3 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 17.8 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 2, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 15.5 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 15.5 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 14.6 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 17.8 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 18.1 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 20.6 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 16.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Viktor ArvidssonLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Shots on Goal: 1 in 16.7 min, Apr 13 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 8 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 1.5

Average: 1; −0.5 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 17%; 1 of 6
Price implies: 48%; at +108
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.5; 6 games · 16.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4251 book	—	5/6
+1086 books	−1405 books	1/6
+2951 book	—	0/6
+8001 book	—	0/6
+20001 book	—	0/6

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+112Best	−157
betPARX1 min ago	+112Best	−157
BetRivers1 min ago	+112Best	—
Bovada8 min ago	+105	−135Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	+105	−140
DraftKings2 min ago	+100	−135Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:08 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +100 → +108 since first seen

Andrew Copp's full game log and splits