Andrei Svechnikov

Carolina Hurricanes · LW · #37

CAR @ NYI · Live

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1483 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

vs WSH, 2026-10-13: 5, missed, 21.5 min
at WPG, 2026-10-17: 2, hit, 18.7 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 1, hit, 16.7 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 6, missed, 19.1 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 1, hit, 18.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 14.8 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 2, hit, 16.8 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 19.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 17.6 min
at NSH, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 16.1 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Semyon Varlamov (Confirmed)
Saves: 81 of 91 (.890) over his last 4 games · 3 of NYI's last 10 starts · Ilya Sorokin started 7
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 9 of 15; with him: 60 of 110 (125 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
NYI allow 19.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 20th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 19.3, 19th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17 min · 2026–27: 17.6 (17 games)
Power play: 2.9 min last 5 · 4.1 2026–27

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 4 of 6 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Svechnikov didn't play the Apr 14 meeting; shots on goal the last time Svechnikov faced them: 2 (Apr 4)

Under 2.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against NYI on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −148
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −133 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−11001 book	—	1/10
−2451 book	—	5/10
+1023 books	−1483 books	7/10
+2751 book	—	8/10
+6501 book	—	8/10
+14001 book	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle12 hr ago	+100	−133Best
Bally Bet12 hr ago	+102	−148
DraftKings12 hr ago	+115Best	−155
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.

Andrei Svechnikov's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.