Andrei Svechnikov

Carolina Hurricanes · LW · #37

CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1567 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 14; with him: 72 of 110 (124 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 3.64 assists a game to forwards: 18th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.70, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.5 min · 2026–27: 17.7 (16 games)
Power play: 2.6 min last 5 · 4.2 2026–27

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at PHI, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 16.4 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 21.5 min
at WPG, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 18.7 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 16.7 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 19.1 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 18.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 14.8 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 16.8 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 19.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 17.6 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Assists: 2 in 17.5 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NSH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −156
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −152 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −139, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1207 books	−1562 books	5/10
+6003 books	—	10/10
+18952 books	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle13 min ago	+114	−152Best
DraftKings13 min ago	+120	−160
Bally Bet13 min ago	+123Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	+123Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+123Best	—
Bovada12 min ago	+112	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+112	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:38 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Andrei Svechnikov's full game log and splits