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Anders Lee

Utah Mammoth · LW · #72

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1463 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 13.3 min
  2. at EDM, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 14 min
  3. vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 15.4 min
  4. vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 13.9 min
  5. at SEA, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 12.1 min
  6. vs TB, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 15.9 min
  7. vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 11 min
  8. at PIT, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 15.4 min
  9. at PHI, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 14.4 min
  10. at TOR, 2026-11-03: 3, cleared, 14.8 min
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)

    Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: 5 of 9 (16 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)

    Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Jacob Fowler (Expected)

    Saves: 249 of 270 (.922) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    MTL allow 20.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 8th most of 32

    15 games · last 10 games: 20.9, 8th most

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MTL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 7 against MTL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10
  • Clayton KellerRW

  • Mikhail SergachevD

  • Nick SchmaltzC

  • John MarinoDInjured Reserve

  • Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Lee didn't play the Nov 26, 2025 meeting; shots on goal the last time Lee faced them: 3 (Apr 12)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against MTL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
1.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
59%
at −146
Books’ fair
57%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −127

Research, not a pick. At −144 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −127, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−6701 book—7/10
−1463 books+1103 books5/10
+1502 books—4/10
+3701 book—2/10
+8501 book—0/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel1 min ago−144Best+110
Pinnacle7 min ago−146+110
DraftKings7 min ago−185+140Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −130 → −146 since first seen

Anders Lee's full game log and splits