Aliaksei Protas

Washington Capitals · C · #21

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2055 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
DAL allow 4.14 points a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 4.70, 30th most
Teammate out
Rasmus Sandin: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 15 of 22; with him: 33 of 72 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Vincent Desharnais: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Under 0.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 7 of 9 (13 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)
Saves: 191 of 207 (.923) over his last 10 games · 8 of DAL's last 10 starts

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (6 of 8 at home).

vs NYR, 2026-10-09: 0, hit, 15.6 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 14.8 min
at CAR, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 16 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 17.6 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 16.6 min
vs LA, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 13.2 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 16.8 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 16.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 19.6 min
vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 17 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jack St. IvanyD
Alex TuchRW
Pierre-Luc DuboisLW
Rasmus SandinDInjured Reserve
Vincent DesharnaisDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Capitals count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Protas didn't play the Jan 7 meeting; points the last time Protas faced them: 0 (Oct 28, 2025)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against DAL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −172

Research, not a pick. At −205 the price is worse than our fair −172, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1655 books	−2051 book	7/10
	+8505 books	—	9/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 min ago	+150	−205Best
Bally Bet1 min ago	+165Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+165Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+165Best	—
FanDuel1 min ago	+162	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Aliaksei Protas's full game log and splits