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Alex Tuch

Washington Capitals · RW · #89

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1346 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightDefense vs forwards

    DAL allow 16.0 shots on goal a game to forwards: the fewest of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 15.8, the fewest

  • Teammate out

    Rasmus Sandin: Injured Reserve (knee)

    Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: no games (13 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Vincent Desharnais: Injured Reserve (abdomen)

    Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 4 of 9 (13 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)

    Saves: 191 of 207 (.923) over his last 10 games · 8 of DAL's last 10 starts

Game log against Over 2.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (5 of 8 at home).

  1. vs NYR, 2026-10-09: 2, missed, 20.4 min
  2. vs SEA, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 20.9 min
  3. at CAR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 18.8 min
  4. vs MTL, 2026-10-14: 3, cleared, 18.8 min
  5. vs NJ, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 18.1 min
  6. vs LA, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 19 min
  7. vs BUF, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 22.5 min
  8. vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 5, cleared, 18.7 min
  9. at NSH, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 17.3 min
  10. vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 18.3 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

  • Jack St. IvanyD

  • Pierre-Luc DuboisLW

  • Dylan StromeC

  • Rasmus SandinDInjured Reserve

  • Vincent DesharnaisDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Capitals count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Tuch didn't play the Jan 7 meeting; shots on goal the last time Tuch faced them: 1 (Apr 15)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
2.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
2.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
43%
at +134
Books’ fair
40%
margin removed
Time on ice
19.3
10 games · 19.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−10672 books—10/10
−2122 books—8/10
pick'em onlypick'em only5/10
+1346 books−1865 books5/10
+3522 books—2/10
+8001 book—1/10
+18001 book—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
FanDuel1 min ago+142Best−188
BetRiversjust now+138—
DraftKings11 min ago+135−185
Bally Bet7 min ago+133−186
betPARX1 min ago+133−186
Pinnacle7 min ago+122−160Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +122 → +134 since first seen

Alex Tuch's full game log and splits