Alex Laferriere
PIT @ LA · Today 9:00 PMGame log against Under 0.5
50%10 of 20L20 · Without Fiala
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 10 of 20 games without Kevin Fiala (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Kevin Fiala: Injured Reserve (lower leg)
Under 0.5 without him: 27 of 44; with him: 43 of 56 (100 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mats Zuccarello: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: 3 of 6 (14 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Arturs Silovs (Expected)
Saves: 235 of 271 (.867) over his last 10 games · 7 of PIT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PIT allow 4.31 assists a game to forwards: 4th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.50, the most
Splits
Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against PIT in his last 20; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 against PIT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L20Artemi PanarinLW
Adrian KempeRW
Kevin FialaLWInjured Reserve
Mats ZuccarelloRWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PIT
Assists: 1 in 18.1 min, Nov 9, 2025 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against PIT on record
L20 · Without Fiala · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 10 of 20
- Price implies
- 69%
- at −219
- Books’ fair
- 62%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −159
Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −159, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Fiala| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1386 books | −2192 books | 10/20 | |
| +8002 books | — | 16/20 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | +135 | −180Best |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | +161 | −219 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | +138 | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | +138 | — |
| BetRivers6 min ago | +138 | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +164Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:01 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.


