Alex Laferriere
SJ @ LA · Today 10:00 PMWhat's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Kevin Fiala: Injured Reserve (lower leg)
Under 0.5 without him: 27 of 43; with him: 43 of 56 (99 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mats Zuccarello: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 7; with him: 3 of 6 (13 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)
Saves: 262 of 291 (.900) over his last 10 games · 5 of SJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
SJ allow 3.94 assists a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.60, 18th most
Game log against Under 0.5
50%10 of 20L20 · Without Fiala
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 10 of 20 games without Kevin Fiala (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
Splits
Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L20Artemi PanarinLW
Kevin FialaLWInjured Reserve
Adrian KempeRWDay-To-Day
Mats ZuccarelloRWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SJ
Assists: 0 in 16.8 min, Oct 3 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against SJ on record
L20 · Without Fiala · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 10 of 20
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −174
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −164
Research, not a pick. At −174 the price is worse than our fair −164, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Fiala| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1302 books | −1741 book | 10/20 | |
| +6801 book | — | 16/20 | |
| +25001 book | — | 20/20 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +130Best | −174Best |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +130Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.


