Alex Killorn

Anaheim Ducks · LW · #17

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1437 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

vs CGY, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 16.3 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-16: 2, missed, 16.1 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 1, hit, 18.7 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 15.8 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 1, hit, 15.4 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 3, missed, 15 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 18.3 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 13 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 16.5 min
at VAN, 2026-11-03: 1, hit, 18 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Matt Tomkins (Confirmed)
Saves: 27 of 28 (.964) over his last 1 game · 1 of EDM's last 10 starts · Tristan Jarry started 6
Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 1.5 without him: 19 of 36; with him: 36 of 73 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 1.5 without him: 12 of 18; with him: 43 of 91 (109 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
EDM allow 18.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.6, 17th most

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against EDM in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 6 of 15 against EDM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Leo CarlssonC
Beckett SenneckeRW
Cutter GauthierLW
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs EDM

Shots on Goal: 2 in 9.5 min, Oct 7 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 6 of 15 games against EDM on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −143
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4803 books	—	2/10
+1027 books	−1434 books	7/10
+3103 books	—	8/10
+7501 book	—	10/10
+20001 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−110	−120Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	−105	−126
Bally Bet3 min ago	+102	−143
betPARX1 min ago	+102	−143
BetRivers2 min ago	+102	—
Bovada3 min ago	+110Best	—
FanDuel1 min ago	+100	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Alex Killorn's full game log and splits