Alex Killorn

Anaheim Ducks · LW · #17

ANA @ VAN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1756 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Kevin Lankinen (Confirmed)
Saves: 220 of 266 (.827) over his last 10 games · 3 of VAN's last 10 starts · Leevi Merilainen started 7
TonightDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 8.94 points a game to forwards: the most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 8.90, the most
Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 24 of 35; with him: 47 of 73 (108 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 13 of 17; with him: 58 of 91 (108 games as teammates)

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at CGY, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 18.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 16.3 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-16: 0, hit, 16.1 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 18.7 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 15.8 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 15.4 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 15 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 18.3 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 13 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 16.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Leo CarlssonC
Cutter GauthierLW
Beckett SenneckeRW
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Points: 0 in 18.3 min, Oct 27 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against VAN on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −166

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −166, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1076 books	−1752 books	6/10
	+5005 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle2 min ago	+125	−170Best
DraftKings6 min ago	+135Best	−180
Bally Bet2 min ago	+102	—
betPARX1 min ago	+102	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+102	—
Bovada1 min ago	+112	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under No move since first seen

Alex Killorn's full game log and splits