Alex DeBrincat

Detroit Red Wings · RW · #93

DET @ COL · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1066 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L20 · Without Larkin

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of 8 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 1, missed, 21.2 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 6, cleared, 17.9 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 1, missed, 18.6 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 19.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 4, cleared, 23.3 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, missed, 18.8 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 3, missed, 16 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 7, cleared, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 6, cleared, 21.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 19.3 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 23.8 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 15.3 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 3, missed, 21.9 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 18 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 18.8 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 18.7 min
at TB, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 22.9 min
vs VGK, 2026-11-05: 5, cleared, 19.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 3.5 without him: 8 of 15; with him: 38 of 84 (99 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 3.5 without him: 14 of 27; with him: 32 of 72 (99 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Albert Johansson: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 3.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 42 of 93 (99 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Mackenzie Blackwood (Expected)
Saves: 222 of 249 (.892) over his last 10 games · 8 of COL's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against COL in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against COL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Lucas RaymondLW
Viktor ArvidssonLW
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs COL

Shots on Goal: 1 in 16.7 min, Feb 2 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against COL on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 3.5

Average: 3.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 49%; at +106
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20; 8 games · 18.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−50001 book	—	8/8
−7802 books	—	6/8
−2402 books	—	6/8
+1066 books	−1435 books	5/8
+2052 books	—	1/8
+4002 books	—	0/8
+8002 books	—	0/8

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel6 min ago	+108Best	−140
Pinnacle7 min ago	+108Best	−143
Bally Bet7 min ago	+106	−150
betPARX7 min ago	+106	−150
BetRivers6 min ago	+106	—
DraftKings7 min ago	−105	−130Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:20 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +108 → +106 since first seen

Alex DeBrincat's full game log and splits