Alex DeBrincat

Detroit Red Wings · RW · #93

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2053 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 13; with him: 36 of 84 (97 games as teammates)
YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Red Wings played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 25; with him: 28 of 72 (97 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Albert Johansson: Out (undisclosed)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 4; with him: 38 of 93 (97 games as teammates)

17%1 of 6L20 · Without Larkin

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 1 of 6 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs CBJ, 2026-04-07: 0, missed, 17.9 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 1, cleared, 16.1 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 21.2 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 1, cleared, 17.9 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 18.6 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 19.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 23.3 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 2, cleared, 18.8 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 16 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 21.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 20.9 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 19.3 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 23.8 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 15.3 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 21.9 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 18 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 18.8 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 18.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Viktor ArvidssonLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Lucas RaymondLW
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Goals: 1 in 17.9 min, Apr 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 9 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 17%; 1 of 6
Price implies: 33%; at +205
Books’ fair: 32%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.5; 6 games · 18.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 32%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
+2053 books	−2801 book	1/6
+14352 books	—	0/6
+90002 books	—	0/6

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet10 hr ago	+220Best	—
DraftKings10 hr ago	+205	—
Pinnacle10 hr ago	+195	−280Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +200 → +205 since first seen

Alex DeBrincat's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.