Adrian KempeDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Kings · RW · #9

SJ @ LA · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1944 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Kevin Fiala: Injured Reserve (lower leg)
Under 0.5 without him: 25 of 41; with him: 31 of 56 (97 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mats Zuccarello: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 3 of 6 (12 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)
Saves: 262 of 291 (.900) over his last 10 games · 5 of SJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
SJ allow 3.94 assists a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.60, 18th most

70%14 of 20L20 · Without Fiala

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 14 of 20 games without Kevin Fiala (his last 20 games).

vs EDM, 2026-04-11: 0, hit, 17.5 min
at SEA, 2026-04-13: 0, hit, 17.3 min
at VAN, 2026-04-14: 0, hit, 20.4 min
at CGY, 2026-04-16: 0, hit, 20.5 min
at COL, 2026-04-19: 0, hit, 18.7 min
at COL, 2026-04-21: 0, hit, 20 min
vs COL, 2026-04-23: 0, hit, 19.1 min
vs COL, 2026-04-26: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at COL, 2026-09-30: 0, hit, 19.4 min
at SJ, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 22 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-06: 0, hit, 21.7 min
at VGK, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 19.6 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 23.1 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 21.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 18.3 min
at NYI, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 20.2 min
at NJ, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 20.7 min
at NYR, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 18.4 min
at CHI, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 22 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 22 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Artemi PanarinLW
Alex LaferriereRW
Kevin FialaLWInjured Reserve
Mats ZuccarelloRWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SJ

Assists: 1 in 22 min, Oct 3 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against SJ on record

L20 · Without Fiala · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 14 of 20
Price implies: 66%; at −194
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −163

Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −163, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Fiala

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+1444 books	−1942 books	14/20
	+8003 books	—	20/20

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	+120	−165Best
Pinnacle10 min ago	+144Best	−194
Bovada9 min ago	+144Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+144Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Adrian Kempe's full game log and splits