Zach Charbonnet
SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PMGame log against Over 9.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Sam Darnold: Out (quadriceps). He led SEA in passing in 6 of 9 games this season
Also led: Drew Lock 3 (Questionable, oblique, led the last game). Over 9.5 with Darnold at quarterback: 8 of 12; with another SEA quarterback: 20 of 26
SunTargets
Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2025: 2.2 (11 games) · up 50%
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 7% over 11 games this season
Defense vs running backs
LV allow 31.9 receiving yards a game to running backs: 18th most of 32
9 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs ARI
Splits
Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against LV on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 12.9
- +3.4 vs line
- Median
- 11
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.5
- 10 games · 3.3 in 2024
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2601 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1206 books | −1145 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1621 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +2554 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3901 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +5501 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Bovada7 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −120 | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −120 | −109Best |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −121 | −110 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5−114 → −120 since first seen


