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Xavier Worthy

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · #1

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder5.5
—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

Game log against Over 5.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Targets cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. vs LAC, 2025-12-14: 4, missed, 4 targets
  2. at TEN, 2025-12-21: 3, missed, 3 targets
  3. vs DEN, 2025-12-25: 3, missed, 3 targets
  4. vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 6, cleared, 6 targets
  5. vs IND, 2026-09-20: 7, cleared, 7 targets
  6. at MIA, 2026-09-27: 2, missed, 2 targets
  7. at LV, 2026-10-04: 7, cleared, 7 targets
  8. vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 7, cleared, 7 targets
  9. at SEA, 2026-10-25: 6, cleared, 6 targets
  10. at DEN, 2026-11-01: 6, cleared, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 5.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Patrick Mahomes led KC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 5.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 24 of 38; with another KC quarterback: 0 of 2

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    NYJ allow 16.0 targets a game to wide receivers: 28th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 6.3 targets · 2026: 5.9 (7 games)

    Target share: 18% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 5.5

Average
5.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
6
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
—
2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
5.1
10 games · 5.2 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
Compare 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Targets, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 5.5Under 5.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

5.5 → 5.5 since we started recording it

Xavier Worthy's full game log and splits