Woody Marks
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PMGame log against Over 78.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 78.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 78.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunCarries + targets
Last 3: 19 carries + targets · 2026: 13.4 (7 games) · up 42%
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 78.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 6 of 21; with another HOU quarterback: 1 of 4
Defense vs running backs
LAC allow 130.7 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 13th most of 32
7 games
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Splits
Over 78.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against LAC in his last 10; Over 78.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs LAC
Rush+Rec Yards: 75 in 21 carries + targets, Dec 27, 2025 (away)
Over 78.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against LAC on record
L10 · Over 78.5
- Average
- 56.1
- −22.4 vs line
- Median
- 44
- −34.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries + targets
- 14.4
- 10 games · 14.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 78.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3053 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1823 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1152 books | −1152 books | 4/10 | |
| −1203 books | −1212 books | 4/10 | |
| — | — | 4/10 | |
| +1253 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +1803 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 78.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 78.5 | Under 78.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel10 min ago | −113Best | −115Best |
| Bovada10 min ago | −115 | −115Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
78.580.5 → 78.5 since first seen


