Woody Marks
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 2.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 5 of 20; with another HOU quarterback: 0 of 4
Defense vs running backs
LAC allow 3.4 receptions a game to running backs: 26th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.4 (7 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 7 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game log against Over 2.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against LAC in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs LAC
Receptions: 1 in 2 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (away)
Over 2.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against LAC on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 1.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at −102
- Books’ fair
- 45%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.4
- 10 games · 2.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 45%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14501 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −2601 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1022 books | −1542 books | 2/10 | |
| +2701 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +5801 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | +116Best | −154 |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −102 | −130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:35 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: No move since first seen