Tyler Warren

Indianapolis Colts · TE · #84

MIA @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +2001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

vs SF, 2025-12-22: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
at HOU, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
at KC, 2026-09-20: 1, cleared, 8 carries + targets
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 11 carries + targets
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 10 carries + targets
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 10 carries + targets
vs DAL, 2026-11-08: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Daniel Jones led IND in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 0.5 with Jones at quarterback: 8 of 19; with another IND quarterback: 0 of 5
Carries + targets
Last 3: 9 carries + targets · 2026: 8 (7 games)
Target share: 24% last 3 games · 22% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DAL
Game lines
IND −4 · total 38.5 (6 sportsbooks)
IND's games this season closed at 45.4 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs MIA

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 10 carries + targets, Sep 7, 2025 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 33%; at +200
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 7.8; 10 games · 6.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+2001 book	pick'em only	3/10
+17001 book	—	0/10
+125001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel18 min ago	+200Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen