Tyler Warren

Indianapolis Colts · TE · #84

MIA @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under43.5

Over 43.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 43.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs SF, 2025-12-22: 30, missed, 9 targets
vs JAX, 2025-12-28: 43, missed, 5 targets
at HOU, 2026-01-04: 26, missed, 8 targets
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 13, missed, 5 targets
at KC, 2026-09-20: 21, missed, 7 targets
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 55, cleared, 10 targets
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 41, missed, 5 targets
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 83, cleared, 9 targets
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 18, missed, 10 targets
vs DAL, 2026-11-08: 44, cleared, 7 targets

ClearedMissedThe 43.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 43.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Daniel Jones led IND in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 43.5 with Jones at quarterback: 12 of 19; with another IND quarterback: 0 of 5
Defense vs tight ends
MIA allow 64.4 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 8th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 8.7 targets · 2026: 7.6 (7 games)
Target share: 24% last 3 games · 22% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DAL

Splits

Over 43.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 43.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs MIA

Receiving Yards: 76 in 9 targets, Sep 7, 2025 (home)

Over 43.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 43.5

Average: 37.4; −6.1 vs line
Median: 35.5; −8 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 7.5; 10 games · 6.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 43.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3201 book	—	6/10
−1541 book	—	5/10
−1161 book	−1141 book	4/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	3/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	2/10
+1241 book	—	2/10
+2201 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 43.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 43.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 43.5	Under 43.5
FanDuel7 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

43.5

41.5 → 43.5 since first seen