Tyler Shough
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PMGame log against Over 33.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 33.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23.1–50.4 passing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Over 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
CLE allow 32.8 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 18th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31 attempts · 2026: 39 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs PIT
Game lines
NO −3 · total 43.5 (7 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 33.5
- Average
- 38.4
- +4.9 vs line
- Median
- 36.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5303 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2863 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1753 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1104 books | −1323 books | 7/10 | |
| +1383 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2053 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2903 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 33.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 33.5 | Under 33.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet12 min ago | −110Best | — |
| betPARX12 min ago | −110Best | −132 |
| BetRivers12 min ago | −110Best | −132 |
| Bovada12 min ago | −120 | −110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
33.5−112 → −110 since first seen


