Tyler Shough

New Orleans Saints · QB · #6

CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under33.5

Over 33.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1485 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 33.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs NYJ, 2025-12-21: 49, cleared, 49 attempts
at TEN, 2025-12-28: 27, missed, 27 attempts
at ATL, 2026-01-04: 35, cleared, 35 attempts
at DET, 2026-09-13: 56, cleared, 56 attempts
at BAL, 2026-09-20: 34, cleared, 34 attempts
vs LV, 2026-09-27: 42, cleared, 42 attempts
vs ATL, 2026-10-05: 48, cleared, 48 attempts
vs MIN, 2026-10-11: 25, missed, 25 attempts
at NYG, 2026-10-18: 30, missed, 30 attempts
vs PIT, 2026-10-25: 38, cleared, 38 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 33.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23.1–50.4 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
CLE allow 32.8 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 18th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31 attempts · 2026: 39 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs PIT
Game lines
NO −3.5 · total 42.5 (6 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 33.5

Average: 38.4; +4.9 vs line
Median: 36.5; +3 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −148
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7703 books	—	8/10
−4003 books	—	8/10
−2353 books	—	7/10
−1485 books	−1082 books	7/10
−1183 books	−1222 books	6/10
+1053 books	—	5/10
+1603 books	—	5/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 33.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 33.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 33.5	Under 33.5
Pinnacle15 min ago	−122Best	−108
Bovada15 min ago	−125	−105Best
Bally Bet15 min ago	−148	—
betPARX15 min ago	−148	—
BetRivers15 min ago	−148	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

33.5

−112 → −148 since first seen